Hard Knox Brawlers vs. Nashville Music City Brawl Stars
Prediction: Brawl Stars 150 - Brawlers 125
Prediction: Brawl Stars 150 - Brawlers 125
Actual: Brawl Stars 156 - Brawlers 76
Accuracy?: Good
Analysis: While this doesn't have any effect on rankings, a healthy B-team is a sign of a health league, and both of these teams did their league proud. These teams played great, though the Brawl Stars had a really strong start and came out ready to fight. The Brawlers regrouped in the second half and played a solid game.
Analysis: While this doesn't have any effect on rankings, a healthy B-team is a sign of a health league, and both of these teams did their league proud. These teams played great, though the Brawl Stars had a really strong start and came out ready to fight. The Brawlers regrouped in the second half and played a solid game.
Little City (Apprentice 7/2010) vs. Chattanooga (Apprentice 4/2010)
Prediction: Little City 110 - Chattanooga 75
Actual: Little City 86 - Chattanooga 84
Accuracy?: Good
Analysis: The first half of this game made my prediction look great, but Chattanooga really rallied to make this a close game. If Memphis and Knoxville hand't played such a nail biter, this would have been the game of the bout. Lead changes, and the last 15 minutes the score was so close I had no idea who would win. Both of these teams played smart defensive derby, as the score reflects.
Analysis: The first half of this game made my prediction look great, but Chattanooga really rallied to make this a close game. If Memphis and Knoxville hand't played such a nail biter, this would have been the game of the bout. Lead changes, and the last 15 minutes the score was so close I had no idea who would win. Both of these teams played smart defensive derby, as the score reflects.
Memphis (11SC/65FTS) vs. Nashville (3SC/20FTS)
Prediction: Nashville 230 - Memphis 45
Actual: Nashville 328 - Memphis 41
Accuracy?: Great
Analysis: I'm almost never going to predict someone as scoring over 250 points. Really, if you can score 250 on an opponent, you could score 350 or more, its just a matter of how much effort you want to put into it. Nashville controlled this game from the get go. While this won't affect Nashville much, Memphis did not look that great here, and likely will not make it to Regionals for the first time as a result.
Analysis: I'm almost never going to predict someone as scoring over 250 points. Really, if you can score 250 on an opponent, you could score 350 or more, its just a matter of how much effort you want to put into it. Nashville controlled this game from the get go. While this won't affect Nashville much, Memphis did not look that great here, and likely will not make it to Regionals for the first time as a result.
Memphis (11SC/65FTS) vs. Hard Knox (12SC/62FTS)
Prediction: Hard Knox 140 - Memphis 115
Actual: Hard Knox 161 - Memphis 123
Accuracy?: Great
Analysis: This game ended up being tighter than the score shows. Memphis seriously rallied from a long stretch of 0 points, and scared Hard Knox for about 15 minutes in the second half. Once Hard Knox reestablished their lead, they continued to dominate the last few minutes. Hard Knox showed they are still a solid contender for Regionals.
Analysis: This game ended up being tighter than the score shows. Memphis seriously rallied from a long stretch of 0 points, and scared Hard Knox for about 15 minutes in the second half. Once Hard Knox reestablished their lead, they continued to dominate the last few minutes. Hard Knox showed they are still a solid contender for Regionals.
Hard Knox (12SC/62FTS) vs. Nashville (3SC/20FTS)
Prediction: Nashville 210 - Hard Knox 65
Actual: Nashville 225 - Hard Knox 61
Accuracy?: Near perfect
Analysis: This game was really great to watch. The first half was unbelievably tight, with Hard Knox actually in the lead for over 10 minutes. I'm not sure if Nashville was caught off guard, or if Knoxville was so hot from their Memphis game, but the result was a great first half. Nashville regrouped and wiped the shock off their face and put up some almost 150 points in the second half, playing much more to expectations. Nashville will need to really analyze that first half of the game before South Central Regionals.
Analysis: This game was really great to watch. The first half was unbelievably tight, with Hard Knox actually in the lead for over 10 minutes. I'm not sure if Nashville was caught off guard, or if Knoxville was so hot from their Memphis game, but the result was a great first half. Nashville regrouped and wiped the shock off their face and put up some almost 150 points in the second half, playing much more to expectations. Nashville will need to really analyze that first half of the game before South Central Regionals.
Gold Coast (13SC/56FTS) vs. Dallas (10SC/68FTS)
Prediction:
Gold Coast 150 - Dallas 130Actual:
Gold Coast 124 - Dallas 116
Accuracy?: Great
Analysis: This was a little closer than I expected. While Dallas is still over ranked, I have predicted this to be the start of their climb, and I think the close score shows that I am right. They certainly performed better than many people expected. Gold Coast was playing at home, but this win will be a major feather in their hat when it comes time for rankings.
Analysis: This was a little closer than I expected. While Dallas is still over ranked, I have predicted this to be the start of their climb, and I think the close score shows that I am right. They certainly performed better than many people expected. Gold Coast was playing at home, but this win will be a major feather in their hat when it comes time for rankings.
Springfield (-SC/-FTS) vs. Green Country (9SC/37FTS)
Prediction:
Springfield 110 - Green Country 130Actual:
Springfield 88 - Green Country 202
Accuracy?: Not bad
Analysis: I called this one a bit closer, but for their first WFTDA game, Springfield did a helluva job. Green Country are no slouches, as their rankings show. Springfield has another WFTDA game before rankings come out, but this is nothing to be ashamed of from either team. I look for big things from Springfield in the future.
Analysis: I called this one a bit closer, but for their first WFTDA game, Springfield did a helluva job. Green Country are no slouches, as their rankings show. Springfield has another WFTDA game before rankings come out, but this is nothing to be ashamed of from either team. I look for big things from Springfield in the future.
Omaha (8SC/50FTS/-DNN) vs. Chicago Outfit (9NC/31FTS/22DNN)
Prediction:
Omaha 75 - Chicago Outfit 140Actual: Omaha 54 - Chicago Outfit 112
Accuracy?: Great
Analysis: I stand by my previous statements about Omaha, they are over-ranked. Credit must be given where credit is due, as Omaha they played a serious defensive game against a highly ranked team, but they just couldn't put up points themselves. While Omaha is solid, their chance at Regionals is in question at this point, especially with a lot of solid newer teams putting pressure on from below.
Analysis: I stand by my previous statements about Omaha, they are over-ranked. Credit must be given where credit is due, as Omaha they played a serious defensive game against a highly ranked team, but they just couldn't put up points themselves. While Omaha is solid, their chance at Regionals is in question at this point, especially with a lot of solid newer teams putting pressure on from below.
Prediction:
Omaha AAA Team 115 - Old Capital City 150Actual: Omaha AAA Team 8 - Old Capital City 225
Magnolia (Apprentice) vs. Red Stick Capital Defenders (Apprentice)
Accuracy?: Ok
Analysis: Well, I got the winner right. Either Omaha's AAA team needs a bit more practice, or Old Capital City is going to be a really well constructed team when they finally graduate. Hard to say, since I didn't see the game.
Analysis: Well, I got the winner right. Either Omaha's AAA team needs a bit more practice, or Old Capital City is going to be a really well constructed team when they finally graduate. Hard to say, since I didn't see the game.
Magnolia (Apprentice) vs. Red Stick Capital Defenders (Apprentice)
Prediction:
Magnolia 125 - Red Stick 85Actual: Magnolia 137 - Red Stick 124
Molly Rogers (Florida) vs. Jacksonville's First Coast Fatales (Jacksonville Home Team)
Accuracy?: Good
Analysis: Red Stick surpassed my expectations, but my Apprentice rankings stand correct so far. Red Stick is likely to graduate next quarter, and they will be a welcome addition to the official rankings list.
Analysis: Red Stick surpassed my expectations, but my Apprentice rankings stand correct so far. Red Stick is likely to graduate next quarter, and they will be a welcome addition to the official rankings list.
Panama City (Florida) vs. Hub City Hattiesburg Hooligans (Apprentice)
Prediction:
Panama City 110 - Hub City 140Actual: Panama City 167 - Hub City 52
Accuracy?: Way wrong
Analysis: Just because a team isn't WFTDA is no reason to think you will beat them. There are lots of quality teams that are solid, and aren't interested in joining. Panama City is one of those leagues that has been around for a long time, probably around 6 years, and has some serious veterancy. They have put up solid games against other members like Dixie (18SC/85FTS). Hub City is newer, but still a good team.
Analysis: Just because a team isn't WFTDA is no reason to think you will beat them. There are lots of quality teams that are solid, and aren't interested in joining. Panama City is one of those leagues that has been around for a long time, probably around 6 years, and has some serious veterancy. They have put up solid games against other members like Dixie (18SC/85FTS). Hub City is newer, but still a good team.
Prediction:
Molly Rogers 65 - First Coast Fatales 120Actual: Molly Rogers 68 - First Coast Fatales 151
Accuracy?: Great
Analysis: Molly Rogers is another long time Florida league, and has played Jacksonville many times. The First Coast Fatales is a good home team from Jacksonville, and has several all stars on it. This game was a good regrouping point for Jacksonville before they continue their WFTDA schedule.
Analysis: Molly Rogers is another long time Florida league, and has played Jacksonville many times. The First Coast Fatales is a good home team from Jacksonville, and has several all stars on it. This game was a good regrouping point for Jacksonville before they continue their WFTDA schedule.
No Coast (6SC/31FTS) vs. Chicago Outfit (9NC/25FTS/22DNN)
Prediction: None! I missed this one somehow.
Actual: No Coast 96 - Chicago Outfit 128
Accuracy?: None
Analysis: Good close game. Chicago Outfit is a good team, and No Coast put up some solid points against them. While many expected them to win, myself included, 30 points is still fairly close. All that said, despite beating Tampa earlier in the year, they might jump them come Q2 rankings.
Today's Predictions: 11/12
Overall: 22/29
Overall: 22/29
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